ANALYSIS: Who does the data say were the big winners and losers of a confusing AFL trade period?
The common consensus is that GWS and Melbourne are angling to trade their respective high selections along with GWS's 2020 first-rounder. Even if that is the case, the trade in isolation — with a swap of a future first-round pick plus others with North Melbourne for pick eight — goes down as one of the worst in recent memory.But one of the most interesting stories of the trade period is the journey of Melbourne's 2020 fourth-rounder.
The pick was involved in the third trade of the period , before being dealt by Hawthorn for Jonathon Patton, then by GWS along with Aiden Bonar and now sits with North. In the past half-decade, the most times a single pick has been moved is five, and given there is over a year of potential trades left, the late pick could yet continue on its cross-country journey.
That future pick was one of many which changed hands. With the talk of the 2019 draft being shallow and the 2020 draft being full of players pre-linked to clubs via father-son and academy rules, it is worth looking at whether clubs tended to prefer to use their trades to enter one draft or the other.Some of the most aggressive"win now" clubs like West Coast, the Bulldogs and St Kilda traded everything they could, and the Crows and Port Adelaide turned players into value in both years.
Some other clubs had divergent views. Collingwood and North moved strongly into next year's draft while Fremantle focused on the current year. Hawthorn and Brisbane actively vacated the 2020 while building up stock this year. There's no clear trend in either case, which suggests views of the draft pools are fairly diverse.St Kilda, Melbourne, Gold Coast and the Hawks all look to have gained ground immediately with the players who will perform next year.
Despite the best predictions available, there will be surprises with the picks and players swapped. Only time will tell who really ends up ahead.
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