Many Russians say they support the war in Ukraine. But, yaffaesque writes, “what does public support mean in a society with no functioning political opposition, a decimated free press, and a repressive regime in power?”
. This messaging appeared convincing, at least to a point. According to the Athena Project, a collective of sociologists and I.T. specialists who have been conducting their own polling in recent weeks, thirty-eight per cent of respondents who view news on television identified the main purpose of the intervention as safeguarding the populations of thein Donetsk and Luhansk. Twenty-one per cent of TV viewers didn’t know the goal of the operation.
The state’s intended message has not been lost on the public: speak of the special operation in pre-approved key words, or don’t talk about it at all. Tatiana Mikhailova, a professor and economist in Moscow, relayed how a pollster from a state-run agency had reached her by phone and said that, if she participated, her number would be recorded for “quality control.” As she put it, “any normal person would hang up.
The research left Miniailo with little faith in polling about public opinion toward the war. The only real takeaway, he said, is that it’s impossible to say anything with much certainty about what Russians actually think about it. “Talking about whether the survey data is off by ten or even twenty per cent totally misses the point,” he told me. “What I think we’ve learned is that the numbers about support for the war are one hundred per cent unreliable—they tell us nothing.
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