Fewer people getting tested — or not reporting their home tests — clouds trajectory of the virus.
If it seems like Colorado’s COVID-19 picture is murkier than it’s been since the pandemic’s early days, it’s not your imagination — and it’s not just happening here.
Now, those measures still exist, but they’re far less informative as fewer and fewer people get tested. Some people have even started looking at— since a diminished sense of smell is a characteristic COVID-19 symptom — for a very rough idea of how cases might trend, though that’s not useful for guessing what’s happening in any particular geographic area.
Being able to interpret the early data matters because knowing what’s coming allows hospitals to plan for an increase in patients and regular people to decide if they want to take additional precautions. When hospitalizations started taking off in Colorado during the virus’s delta wave in October 2021, the state had about two weeks of warning from case and positivity data, with a similar lead time when the omicron variant hit in December.
“We need to really be thinking strategically about what are the key data,” she said. “I think that this is the question that is most important to be asking right now.”
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