Will rows over pay lead to more industrial action in Scotland?

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Will rows over pay lead to more industrial action in Scotland?
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Is Scotland facing a summer of discontent?

Talks are due to take place on Wednesday after Scottish councils called for additional government funding so they can offer staff a bigger pay rise.

Firefighters say a 2% pay offer is "insulting" and are also talking up strike action, while Scottish nurses close their strike ballot this Thursday.will have more to say the following day about stepping up their "withdrawal of goodwill", while they lack the legal right to strike., with their replacements hired on much weaker contracts.

That should give workers a lot of leverage to demand higher wages, and that's what they've been getting in some privately-run sectors, such as haulage. In construction and finance, it's been a bumper year for bonuses. The term suggests a parallel with the Winter of Discontent in 1978/79. There were thousands of strikes, and around 30 million working days were lost to industrial action.Inflation was running high, although lower than it runs today.

Those generations may be less likely to know that "winter of our discontent" is Shakespearean - the opening line from Richard III. It was, incidentally, to welcome the end of that winter. It's easier to focus a campaign on a cabinet minister than a faceless chief executive, whose accountability was to shareholders overseas.

The signs from the Tory leadership candidates are of further measures to constrain trade union power - once more evoking the spirit of Margaret Thatcher. With budgets already tightly stretched to meet commitments for public services and welfare payments, while without further borrowing powers and no appetite for further income tax increases, Scottish ministers see themselves as constrained by spending decisions made at Westminster.

An important element of strike action or other disruption to public services is securing public support. The risk unions take is of alienating the public with the inconvenience of cancelled trains, or bins going uncollected.

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