Many experts believe the mainland’s options over Taiwan are shrinking. But Russia’s struggles in Ukraine will have given them pause
Save time by listening to our audio articles as you multitaskNew concerns were raised in 2022, after Nancy Pelosi, then the Speaker of America’s House of Representatives, travelled to Taiwan. In the eyes of Chinese officials, Ms Pelosi’s trip, though not unprecedented, upset the status quo on which the uneasy peace rests. America does not recognise Chinese sovereignty over Taiwan, but it also does not recognise Taiwan as an independent state. It has diplomatic relations only with the mainland .
For some analysts the question of war turns on whether China thinks it would win. As it grows stronger , the risk increases. But the war in Ukraine may affect the calculus on all sides.
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