WTI Crude Oil Forecast: Tests the 50-Day EMA Again

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WTI Crude Oil Forecast: Tests the 50-Day EMA Again
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Crude oil is testing the 50-Day EMA again

This is an indicator that a lot of people will follow, so does make a certain amount of sense that we pull back a bit by the end of the session.In that environment, I do think that we have more negativity ahead of us than positivity, and every time we do rally, I’d be looking for an opportunity to short-foil. This will be the case for a while, as the global economy starts to slow down.

This is especially true with the Chinese economy and its pandemic problems. The reopening of trade in China ended up being a reopening on its people, so therefore I think we’ve got a situation where the demand in China will continue to wane, and then the course will hurt markets. However, the physical markets are constrained abed, so there is a little bit of a “push/pull” type of dynamic.

In fact, I suspect that it’s not till we get the jobs to report in early January that the full volume of the market comes back, so you should trade cautiously between now and then. It is worth noting that we are no longer a term downtrend, so do keep that in mind. It’s all things being equal, I expect a “fade the rally” type of environment.

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