Here are 10 constituencies to watch in the UK general election

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Here are 10 constituencies to watch in the UK general election
PoliticsUnited KingdomUK Election 2024
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All eyes will be on a number of bellwether constituencies that historically reflect how the UK votes

Analysis: All eyes on Thursday night will be on a number of bellwether constituencies that historically reflect how the UK votesAs the UK gears up for the election, all eyes are on the bellwether constituencies that historically reflect the broader national mood. Where will this election be won and lost? Which constituencies hold the balance of power? And where are the key swing seats?

The top 10 bellwethers Although the country has changed a lot politically over the last seven elections, there are 55 bellwether constituencies, where the residents have consistently followed national trends and voted locally for the same party that ends up in 10 Downing Street. Of these, 52 are in England and three are in Wales.

The 338 seats that have not switched 27 years In contrast to these bellwethers, some steadfast constituencies have remained remarkably resistant to political change. Residents in 338 constituencies have consistently voted in support of the same party across the last seven general elections. Of these, 165 have consistently voted for Labour and 168 have consistently voted for the Conservatives.

The most steadfast Tory residents are those in South Holland and The Deepings in Lincolnshire. Here, the estimated Conservative vote has averaged at 60% over the last seven general elections. John Hayes, who has held the seat for that entire period, should therefore be feeling confident.

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Politics United Kingdom UK Election 2024

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