Including Smoking Status as a Risk Factor for Mortality Estimates on the Know Your Chances Website

Mortalityestimates that exclude smokingstatus nearly triple the calculated death risk for non-smokers, shows study jamanetworkopen

The chance of dying in the next 10 years is highest for accidents and suicide at approximately 0.8% and 0.3%, respectively, for ages 20 to 45 years. For ages 50 years and older, this chance is highest for coronary heart disease . The chance of death over the next 10 years from other major causes do not approximate that of accidents until after 70 years of age.

. For a Black male never smoker aged 60 years, lung cancer moved from below the tenth ranked cause to the fourth and second ranks as expected, given its strong association with smoking. Death due to accidents, which is not smoking related, moved in the opposite direction from second to fifth and seventh ranks as smoking-related causes displaced it. Of note, the 10-year chance of death due to accidents changed from 0.7% to 0.6% .

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