Mick Ryan assesses Ukraine’s counter-offensive

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Mick Ryan assesses Ukraine’s counter-offensive
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Ukraine needs “a decisive campaign that not only recaptures swathes of Ukrainian territory but also destroys a significant part of the Russian armed forces...so they cannot conduct offensive operations again in 2023”, writes WarintheFuture

there have been frequent comparisons between D-Day in 1944 and the Ukrainian military offensive that is currently unfolding. Although both were launched in the month of June, a better comparison may be to Operation Cobra, a large ground operation launched by the United States First Army almost two months after the Normandy landings.

For months a reconnaissance battle has been taking place along the frontline. Ukrainian and Russian forces have fought for information on the ground, using unmanned aerial vehicles , electronic warfare and satellite imagery, while also seeking to deny information to their adversary. Both have been stockpiling logistical items, from food and fuel to ammunition. Ukraine’s armed forces have taken on masses of new equipment and issued it to units.

The new Ukrainian advances around Bakhmut and in southern Ukraine appear to confirm that H-Hour—the time a military operation commences—has arrived. The wily Ukrainians, having conducted offensives in Kharkiv and Kherson, learned from the planning and execution of these operations. As their training and planning have improved, so has their ability to deceive the enemy and to synchronise complex arms operations on multiple axes.

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