The Real Reason Behind Those WR Blockbusters

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The Real Reason Behind Those WR Blockbusters
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The math behind the Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill blockbusters, the issue with one Baker Mayfield landing spot, and more from AlbertBreer

It's the juncture at which the players are first eligible for second contracts, and when teams have to make decisions, absent extensions, on those players’ fifth-year options. Kicking the can down the road a year sometimes works—Lamar Jackson has been fine for the Ravens going through that. But he’s more the outlier. More often, the situation becomes like Baker Mayfield’s, where both sides are in an awkward no-man’s-land.

If it works, great. If it doesn’t, well, then Miami gets its answer. In that way, Hill will help them get to it faster than he can get to the end zone.The first comes in how you read contracts. Hill’s deal was touted as a four-year, $120 million extension. On paper, it is. But the truth is Hill’s deal really is a three-year, $75 million agreement, and then … we’ll see. And that’s still as good a contract as any receiver has ever gotten through three years.

Yes, the Colts got older, but they also got better at quarterback, and that serves a team loaded with win-now players . And they did it while improving their second- and third-round positions this year, and adding a top-100 pick next year. I expect it will be a robust one. And one thing to remember is that these sorts of rules changes can sometimes take a few years to gain the traction needed to be voted through—with a three-quarters approval rate needed.

, is pretty easy to explain—taking a swing on him wouldn’t be all that different than the swing they just took on Darnold. Because of the Darnold deal, the Panthers are without their second- and fourth-round picks this year, and lost their sixth-rounder last year. Add to that the guaranteed $18.858 million fifth-year option Mayfield carries with him this year—same as Darnold’s option—and it’s easy to see why it would make no sense for Carolina.

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